The Rangers are up 2-1 in this series despite being heavily outplayed in Game 3. Our Game 4 picks expect the Panthers to flip the script tonight.
May 28, 2024 • 17:15 ET • 4 minute read
The New York Rangers won consecutive games in overtime to take a 2-1 series lead over the Florida Panthers in the Eastern Conference finals.
Our top NHL picks and Rangers vs. Predictions Panthers demand the Cats fight back and even the score with a home win in Game 4 on Tuesday, May 28. For more analysis of this contest, check out Josh Inglis’s Rangers. Props vs Panthers!
Rangers vs Panthers Prediction
my best bet
Panthers money line (-162 at Pinnacle)
my analysis
The Florida Panthers, who generated 108 shot attempts in Game 3, attracted a lot of attention, but I’m more interested in them doubling the New York Rangers in high-danger scoring opportunities (16-8) and posting 68.1% of expected goals.
Rangers starter Igor Shesterkin was solid, but an .892 save percentage, including a .900 mark on medium-danger shots, is nothing to write home about. Unfortunately for the Cats, their number one, Sergei Bobrovsky, was worse and there were defensive lapses directly related to multiple Rangers goals.
I expect a defensive turnaround for Florida after holding opponents to two goals or less in each of its seven games before Sunday’s 5-4 loss. Additionally, the Panthers have allowed just 2.43 goals per game with a penalty kill percentage of 88.6 ranking second in the postseason. Of course, Bobrovsky also impressed with a .935 SV% and 1.39 GAA over the aforementioned seven-game stretch.
Additionally, New York scored five times on just 43 attempts, 23 shots and eight HDCF will be difficult to replicate. After all, the Rangers finished with 1.77 expected goals in Game 3. I anticipate Game 4 to play out similarly to Game 3, I expect the score to reflect the play more than it did on Sunday.
Finally, I’d rather pay the higher vig on the Panthers moneyline than bet on the -1.5 puck line or the Panthers in regulation because Florida has multiple ways to win without those two bets cashing out. Furthermore, the probabilities of the three bets are correlated.
Same Game Combination (SGP) between Rangers and Panthers
panthers money line
Less than 5.5
There were only six goals in the first two games of this series and both teams have been solid defensively throughout the postseason. New York has allowed just 2.62 goals per game and is tied for third with an 85.7 PK%.
A game with few goals is also the key to success for both clubs. The third game was an afternoon game that I expect contributed to the high score and will remain an outlier once the series concludes.
There is also a slight upside to this SGP via DraftKings compared to FanDuel’s +181 odds. The DraftKings price of +194 provides a positive expected value of 5%.
Learn how to bet on a parlay in the same game with these helpful tips and strategies.
Rangers vs Panthers Odds
Rangers vs Panthers live odds
Rangers vs Panthers opening odds
- disk line: New York +1.5 (-190) | Florida -1.5 (+160)
- money line: New York +135 | florida-160
- Below: More than 5.5 | Less than 5.5
Rangers vs Panthers Money Line and Over/Under Analysis
- There has been a consensus move towards the Florida side of this moneyline and Pinnacle opened Panthers -163 and came in at -173. Similarly, bet365 went from a -160 Florida opening to -180 on Tuesday morning.
- I also respect the move because this is a mature market that has been available since Sunday afternoon.
- The total has seen a slight movement towards the Over 5.5, but it has not been enough to impact my stance on the Under.
- In addition, the Under continues to have the highest lookout in all areas.
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Rangers vs Panthers trend
The Panthers had allowed two goals or fewer in seven straight games before Sunday’s 5-4 overtime loss. Find more NHL betting trends for Rangers vs. Panthers.
Game information Rangers vs Panthers
Location: | Amerant Bank Arena, Sunrise, Florida |
Date: | Tuesday, 05-28-2024 |
Disc drop: | 8:00 pm Eastern Time |
TELEVISION: | Keynote USA |
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